Business & Investment

7 high frequency indicators for the economy

These indicators are primarily for travel and entertainment. It will be interesting to see these sectors recover as the vaccines are distributed.

Important: Be safe now. Hopefully everything will be vaccinated by the second quarter of 2021.

—– Airline: Transportation Security Administration —–

Provided by TSA Number of daily trips..

Click the graph to see the enlarged image.

This data shows a 7-day average of total daily traveler throughput from TSA in 2019 (light blue), 2020 (blue), and 2021 (red).

The dashed line is the ratio of 2019 to the 7-day average.

This data is current as of March 14th.

The 7-day average is down 51.1% from the same week in 2019 (48.9% last year). (Dashed line)

There were ups and downs due to the holidays and slowly increased from the bottom-and TSA data rose in 2021.

—– Restaurant: OpenTable —–

The second graph shows the 7-day year-over-year average of Diner, tabulated by OpenTable in the United States and some selected cities.

Important: OpenTable Note: “Since January 1, 2021, we have updated the data, including the downloadable dataset, to compare seated diner from 2021 to 2019 year-on-year.” Thank you!

Box office transferThanks to OpenTable for providing this restaurant data.

This data will be updated until March 13, 2021.

This data is “a sample restaurant on the OpenTable network across all channels, including online bookings, phone bookings, and carry-on. Daily year-over-year comparisons compare to the same day of the week. In the previous year.”

This data is “Only restaurants that have selected to reopen In a given market. ” The actual year-on-year decline is worse than shown, as some restaurants have not reopened..

After eating more during the holidays, I was hit by a surge in winter. Meals are picking up again.

—– Movie Tickets: Box Office Mojo —–

Box office transferThis data shows the domestic box office revenue for each week and the median from 2016 to 2019 (dashed light blue).

Blue is 2020 and red is 2021.

Data is from Box Office Mojo to March 11th.

Keep in mind that the data is usually noisy weekly and depends on when the blockbuster is released.

Movie ticket sales were $ 21 million last week, down about 89% from the median that week.

—– Hotel occupancy rate: STR —–

Hotel occupancy rateThis graph shows the seasonal pattern of hotel occupancy. 4 weeks average..

The red line is 2021, the black is 2020, the blue is the median, and the light blue of the broken line is 2009 (the worst year since the Great Depression of the hotel, before 2020).

Even if occupancy rates rise to 2009 levels, the hotel still hurts.

This data is up to March 6th. Hotel occupancy is currently down 20.5% year-on-year (26.7% decrease compared to the same week in 2019). Starting next week, the occupancy rate will drop sharply during the pandemic, making it easier to compare year-on-year, but the occupancy rate will drop significantly from normal levels.

Note: The Y-axis does not start from zero to clearly show seasonal changes.

—– Gasoline supplied: Energy Information Bureau —–

Gasoline consumptionThis graph is based on weekly data from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) and shows the gasoline supplied. Same week of 2019..

Blue is for 2020. Red is for 2021.

As of March 5, the gasoline supplied was about 4.5% off (about 95.5% in the same week of 2019).

Gasoline supply will soon increase year-on-year, as it fell by almost 50% year-on-year in 2020.

—– Transit: Apple Mobility —–

This graph is Apple mobility.. From Apple: “This data is generated by counting Number of requests made to Apple Maps for directions In some countries / regions, sub-regions and cities. This is just a general guide. People who commute to work on a regular basis probably don’t ask for directions.

There is also some great data on mobility from the Dallas Federation Mobility and Engagement Index.. However, the index is set “against the weekday-specific average from January to February” and is not seasonally adjusted, so the increase in mobility may be due to recovery or the normal increase in spring and summer. I don’t know if it is. ..

Apple mobility data

This data is up to March 11 in the United States and some selected cities.

The graph is a 7-day average to remove the effects of the weekend.

Important: All data is based on January 13, 2020. This data is not seasonally adjusted. We use transit data because many people walk and drive on sunny days.

According to Apple’s data directive request, the average US 7-day public transport is 56% of the January 2020 level. It has risen recently, at 50% in Chicago and 59% in Houston (the decline was a weather-related decline).

—– How to use the New York City Subway —–

Here is some interesting data Use of the New York subway (HTBR).

New York City SubwayThis graph is Todd W Schneider.. This is weekly data since 2015.

Most weeks have 30 to 35 million entries, and currently there are less than 10 million subway ticket gate entries per week.

This data is up to Friday, March 12th.

Schneider has a graph for each autonomous region and links to all data sources.

He states: “Data is updated weekly from the MTA. Public ticket gate data, Usually on Saturday morning. “

7 high frequency indicators for the economy 7 high frequency indicators for the economy

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