The guidelines issued to all state governments indicate that the formulas used to estimate the need for vaccines at various levels (blocks, states, districts) are widely borrowed from the Universal Immunization Program (UIP). is showing. However, although the disposal rate varies for each UIP-based vaccine, the “allowable disposal amount” for the Covid-19 vaccine is fixed at 10%. It is used to determine the waste multiplier (WMF) used to determine the estimated doses that need to be purchased.
Ministry and experts said the WMF for the Covid-19 vaccine reached 1.1. Since each beneficiary needs to be vaccinated twice, the procurement estimate is as follows: For example, if the government raises a dose of 100 people, first multiply the number by 2 (if you need two doses). .. Then multiply this number (200) by 1.1 to consider waste and reach the final required number of doses. In this case, it will be 222. To give an example of a single dose estimate, the ministry’s guidelines state: “… 27,800 Covid-19 vaccines are sufficient to immunize 25,045 beneficiaries (WMF = 1.11).”
If the efficiency of logistics, storage, management, and administration (of the vaccine) is 100%, then 200 doses may ultimately be sufficient for 100 people, but this formula was wasted for some reason. It is used to prevent shortage of dose in case. One of these reasons. The Union MoH & FW and the state government are taking every possible step to minimize waste.