Science & Technology

Deloitte predicts 2022 chip shortage, AI regulation, entertainment churn, and sustainable push

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According to annual technology forecasts by accounting and consulting firm Deloitte, the New Year is expected to continue chip shortages, tighten AI regulations, promote smartphone sustainability and cancel entertainment subscriptions.

Deloitte Global The annual report states that chips will continue to run short next year and lead times for some components will continue until 2023. This is in line with reports from chip makers such as Intel and Nvidia.

The company also expects more debate about artificial intelligence (AI) regulation.
Systematically, some suggestions have been made.

Deloitte also said that 320 million consumer health and wearable wellness devices will be shipped worldwide in 2022.

In 2022, more Wi-Fi 6 devices will be shipped than 5G devices, supporting at least 2.5 billion Wi-Fi 6.
Devices and about 1.5 billion 5G devices.

And at least 150 million streaming video-on-demand service (SVOD) paid subscriptions
Canceled all over the world. As game consoles celebrate their 50th anniversary, the game console market will generate a record $ 81 billion in 2022, up 10% from 2021.

The Technology, Media & Telecommunications (TMT) 2022 Predictions report emphasizes that many of these trends are driven by the economic and social changes of the pandemic. Connectivity and entertainment options.

“The pandemic has increased the need to stay connected and improve productivity and experience.
Entertainment, adoption from both consumers and businesses is accelerating, “Kevin said.
Westcott, Deloitte US TMT and Global Telecommunications, Media and Entertainment
(TME) Practice Leader, in a statement. “By 2022, we anticipate that these behaviors will continue to grow, but they are in the background of challenges. Supply chain issues, increasing regulatory issues, and changing media practices are these challenges in the market. It will be at the forefront of business leaders’ minds as it affects their ability to meet demand. “

Demand for chips is skyrocketing, but supply continues to be tight

Deloitte predicts that many types of chips will still be in short supply during 2022, but that will be less.
It is more serious than most of the 2021 cases and will not affect all chips.Continuing shortage of chips
And its sustainability is with digital transformation.
Deloitte said it was accelerated by a pandemic.

Not surprisingly, venture capital investment in semiconductors has begun to meet new demand.
Tip type.Deloitte predicts that venture capital (VC) companies around the world will invest more than $ 6 billion
In 2022, a semiconductor start-up company.That may be only 2% of the total over $ 300 billion
Venture capital investment is expected in 2022, more than three times each year.
2000 and 2016.

Wi-Fi 6 outsells 5G devices

Many countries have adopted 5G in the last two years, but Wi-Fi 6 devices are now quietly outselling
5G devices are growing significantly and may continue to do so in the coming years.

Deloitte predicts that more Wi-Fi 6 devices will be shipped in 2022 than 5G devices, with at least 2.5 billion Wi-Fi 6 devices shipped for approximately 1.5 billion 5G devices. Why: Wi-Fi 6, like 5G, will play an important role in the future of wireless connectivity, not only for consumers but also for businesses.

Meanwhile, smartphones will reach an installed base of 4.5 billion units in 2022, making them the most popular home appliances in the world. However, these phones will produce 146 million tonnes of carbon dioxide or equivalent emissions (CO2e) in 2022.

That’s less than half of the 34 gigatons of total CO2e emitted worldwide in 2021, but it’s still worth trying to reduce. The industry is making smartphones more sustainable by reducing the need for unplanned replacements, providing software support for smartphones to extend the life of phones, and ultimately reducing the environmental impact of smartphones. There is clear evidence that.

AI and sensitive data management

Deloitte predicts that there will be much debate about more systematic regulation of AI in 2022.
Some proposals have been made, but they cannot be enacted in fully enforced regulations.
It can occur after 2023.

Some jurisdictions may also seek to completely ban the entire AI subfield, including facial recognition in public spaces, social scoring, and subliminal techniques. In addition, new privacy-enhancing technologies such as homomorphic encryption (HE) and associative learning (FL) will grow dramatically, driven by the increasing urgency to protect the data used in AI applications.

The total HE and FL market already in use by major technology companies today will grow at double-digit rates in 2022, surpassing US $ 250 million, and by 2025 this market will be US $ 500 million. Is expected to exceed.

“Although there are high expectations for AI, it could be scrutinized further in 2022 as regulators are heading in the right direction.
Understand and implement the privacy and data security implications of new AI applications
Deloitte’s US technology sector leader, Paul Silver Great, said in a statement. “Technology companies find themselves at a point of convergence that they can no longer leave.
Such an ethical issue to fate. What is needed is a holistic approach to addressing ethical responsibility.
Companies that are adopting this approach, especially in new areas like AI, can expect greater acceptance.
More trust and increased profits. “

As the world cancels: Streaming war becomes global

Domestic media companies spin up on their own as major streaming providers expand globally
In domestic streaming services, intensifying competition has given consumers more choices.
Accelerate churn.

Deloitte predicts that in 2022, at least 150 million paid video-on-demand service (SVOD) subscriptions will be canceled worldwide with churn rates of up to 30% per market.

That’s bad news. The better news is that, overall, more subscriptions are added than canceled, the average number of subscriptions per person increases, and in markets with the highest churn rates, many cancelers have previously terminated. There is a possibility of resubscribing to the service you have done. All of these are signs of a highly competitive and mature SVOD market. As SVOD matures, growth across the global region, which can be cost-sensitive, may require innovation and a path to profitability for different business models.

“One of the things we’ve learned over the past year is that consumers want entertainment options.
In terms of content, cost, and the ability to connect socially through experience, “Jana Arbanas said.
Statement by Deloitte’s US Telecom, Media and Entertainment (TM & E) Sector Leader. “As more global players enter these already competitive markets around the world, entertainment companies are constantly innovating and agile to capture the hearts and wallets of increasingly savvy consumers. It is necessary to respond quickly to changes in the market. “

On another subject, Deloitte predicted that it would continue to focus on diversity, equity and inclusion. The largest players in the tech industry will close the gender gap and will reach 33% female representatives of the total workforce in 2022, but women in the technical role continue to lag behind. Fifty-seven percent of TMT women expect to change employers within two years, with pandemics increasing churn and 22% leaving the workforce because it affects workforce growth. I am considering it.

And sports non-fungible tokens (NFTs) have pushed sports souvenirs into the digital era. Deloitte predicts that blockchain-based NFTs for sports media will generate more than $ 2 billion in transactions in 2022, nearly doubling in 2021.

By the end of 2022, we expect 4-5 million sports fans worldwide to buy or donate NFT sports goods. Interest in sports NFTs could be driven by activities in a wide range of NFT markets, including digital art, with the top five most valuable sales surpassing $ 100 million by August 2021. I did.


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Deloitte predicts 2022 chip shortage, AI regulation, entertainment churn, and sustainable push Deloitte predicts 2022 chip shortage, AI regulation, entertainment churn, and sustainable push

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