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Liam Hendriks, Still Underrated | FanGraphs Baseball – MLB Sports

The White Sox has consistently been a class in their department this year, so it’s easy to put together their individual performances. crime? Glitter. starter? Carlos Rodon When Dylan Cease It was a pleasant surprise to change the rotation from good to one of the best baseball. bull-pen? It’s great, and its greatness is almost forgotten, with top 10 ERAs, top 5 FIPs, and a pile of strikeouts, grounders, and pop-ups.

You probably know it Liam Hendriks I’m the mastermind. He was an important off-season addition and had a great 2020 for Auckland. But you may not have noticed how good his three-year practice was. He was one of the handful of rescuers in the game — again. He did it, throwing a ton of innings — again. All in all, this recent excellence gives him a strong claim as one of the best saviors of the 21st century.

One way to try to contextualize Hendrix’s string of excellence is to watch a three-season stretch by the rescuer. The king of this metric is, of course, Eric Gagné.. From 2002 to 2004, he was a machine, throwing 82.1 innings each year, offering a total of 1.79 ERA, 1.57 FIP, and a whopping 11.7 WAR. That number rarely sounds like a savior, but most saviors do not offer a season like Gagne. He has his head and shoulders above the rest of the list:

Best 3 season relief stretch

Hendrix is ​​ranked 23rd in total for the three seasons of the century. However, this list is difficult to decipher. For one thing, sandwiching two great seasons between two okay seasons doubles many rescuers. Gagne isn’t the only name there. There are many Kimbrel, Riveras, Chapman and more in the Top 25.

It’s not shameful where Hendricks puts him on the list, but that placement sells him unreasonably short. Statistics counting will not work if you include the 2020 season with a shortened pandemic. Hendrix was extraordinary — he posted 1.78 ERA and 1.14 — but he did it in 25.1 innings. It gave him the highest WAR total of last year’s relief — and the 452nd best season since 2000.

This can be explained by using intra-season placement instead of total WAR. Take a look at Gagne’s impressive ’02 –04 span again. In 2002 he was the best rescuer of baseball. In 2003 he was the best baseball savior. In 2004, he trailed … until he became the third best rescuer in baseball. If you add them all up and divide by 3, you get a score of 1.67 for 3 years. It is the best sign of the century.

Okay, Hendrix doesn’t match Peak Gagne. Probably the best relief stretch ever. But he’s pretty close:

Best 3 Season Relief Stretch (Method 2)

player Year 3-Season rank 3-Season ERA 3-Season FIP
Eric Gagné 2002-2004 1.67 1.57 1.67
Liam Hendriks 2019-2021 2.33 2.01 2.33
Dellin Betances 2014-2016 2.67 1.97 2.67
Aroldis Chapman 2014-2016 3.00 1.45 3.00
Craig Kimbrel 2011-2013 3.33 1.43 3.33
Robb Nen 200-2002 3.33 2.21 3.33
Joe Nathan 2004-2006 3.67 2.02 3.67
BJ Ryan 2004-2006 4.00 2.11 4.00
Jonathan Papelbon 2006-2008 4.00 2.19 4.00
Greg Holland 2012-2014 4.00 1.83 4.00

Despite this year’s fifth “pedestrian” mark, Hendrix is ​​doing what no one else is doing. The savior is inconsistent by its nature. Any rough patch may knock you from the top of the heap when you throw very few innings. Wake up on the other side of the bed and allow two home runs in a day? It’s probably for you. Hendrix allowed a total of 6 home runs in 2019 and 20 years.

That’s not the worst. You may be great — your normal good self — just let someone else put together a few months of unconsciousness and knock you from above. Devin Williams Last year it almost outperformed Hendrix, as rescuers do so from time to time. Just as one or two bad outings disqualify you from one of the best in the game, one of the 50 fireball rescuers put together a great season and topped the list of stable performers in the majors. You may deny it.

To be as consistent and successful as Hendrix, you need to be incredibly talented and a little lucky. In addition, it needs to be durable. He has pitched the third most inning of relief in the last three years. Craig Stammen And ex-teammate Yasumeiro Petit..With Hendrix Geo Bunny Galegos Only two people stopped 150 innings with an ERA of less than 3, and the former is not particularly missing in either mark, with 172.1 innings with an ERA of 2.09 being his name.

Not much interesting how Hendrix does that because it has relied on the same formula for several years at this point. There is a 70% chance that he will throw a fastball that no one can hit. His swing strike rate on this year’s pitch is 18.8%. This means that one-fifth of all the fastballs he throws will empty the batter. Not one-fifth of a swing — one-fifth all pitch. He throws the fastball harder than ever, with an average speed of nearly 98 mph, and bold batters use it to do anything.

Otherwise he mainly throws sliders … no one can hit. The pitch checks in with a swing strike rate of 31.1%. This is a begging belief. Almost one-third of the time he throws the slider, the batter swings and misses. This is hard to imagine on a pitch where you often miss the strike zone. They get in touch in less than half the time they provide it.If not the best slider in baseball (only) Jacob deGrom Miss more bats with his slider), it’s certainly on a short list.

What can you say about one of the best fastballs in the game, one of the best braking pitches in the game, and a relief with a proven track record of durability and stability? You can say he is the best savior of the game at the moment, Josh Hader.. It can be said that he has a historic run. But most of the time, the games he participates in are almost over, so you might not think much about him.

It’s the curse of being a good savior. Hendrix outings look almost the same. He enters the game late in the last inning, or occasionally due to multi-inning saves. He beats a mountain of enemies — 41.6% of the batters he faced this year are the third best mark among major league rescuers. He walks only 2.9%. This is also the third major league rescuer. (Two pitchers who strike out more opponents than him walk a ton of batters, and two who walk less than him have below average strikeout rates.)

For these reasons, his game can feel blurry. He does not allow many base runners. His 0.77 WHIP is, as you can imagine, the best of all rescuers. He produces a lazy flyball, and when he doesn’t do it, he hits the batter. If you’re going to score him, you have to hit a home run. Of the 23 runs he allowed this year, 17 are the result of home runs. There is no home run or fun. Home runs are a rare event, so watching Hendrix’s week-long appearance may make you feel like you’re seeing the same thing over and over again.

For the savior, it is highly appreciated. Hendrix is ​​so good that he feels like a fact of life, not an exciting rescuer — the inevitable end of the White Sox-leading game. That’s what happens when you are one of the best saviors of the 21st century at the peak of your power.

– MLB Sports

Liam Hendriks, Still Underrated | FanGraphs Baseball

https://blogs.fangraphs.com/liam-hendriks-still-underrated/ Liam Hendriks, Still Underrated | FanGraphs Baseball

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