Sports

MLB star that should bounce back in 2021 – MLB Sports

The 2020 season was a strange year for everyone, especially for some of MLB’s biggest stars.

MVP and Cy Young-caliber players have shown a featureless dip throughout the shortened 60-game season. I couldn’t find any name that I expected to be in the top of the poll. But if you’re lucky, these slumping stars will return to normal next season.

Here are seven superstars that are expected to bounce back in 2021.

(All forecasts for 2021 steamer.. )

1.1. Christian Yelich, LF, Brewers
2020 Statistics: .205 AVG / .356 OBP / .430 SLG, 12 HR, 4 SB, .786 OPS
2021 Forecast: .280 AVG / .389 OBP / .531 SLG, 35 HR, 18 SB, .920 OPS

The big problem for Yelich in 2020 was that the number of strikeouts increased significantly, with the strikeout rate rising from 20.3% in 2019 to 30.8% last year. But he was still hitting the ball hard. Yelich’s average exit speed (94 mph) and hard hit rate (55.6%) are both the highest in his career. Top 10 majors..

Maximum average escape velocity in 2020
1) Fernando Tatis Jr .: 95.9 mph
2) Miguel Sanó: 95.2 mph
3) Christian Yelich: 94.0 mph
4) Mike Trout: 93.7 mph
5) Matt Chapman: 93.6 mph

Yelich needs to strike out, but keep in mind that he was one of the elite contact hitters in baseball until last season. The 2018-19 consecutive batting titles were no coincidence. Since ’14 -19, Yelich’s strikeout rate has been around 20% every year. If he contacts in turn next season in a way he squares it, he will return to MVP level Yeri.

2.2. Nolan Arenado, 3B, Rockies
2020 Statistics: .253 AVG / .303 OBP / .434 SLG, 8 HR, .738 OPS
2021 Forecast: .284 AVG / .358 OBP / .532 SLG, 35 HR, .890 OPS

This is a bet on Arenado’s achievements. The Rockies superstar third baseman had a very good and eerie consistency every year until 2020. Arenado’s stats line was clockwork.

2015: 42 hours | .287 AVG | .575 SLG | .898 OPS | 124 OPS +
2016: 41 hours | .294 AVG | .570 SLG | .932 OPS | 129 OPS +
2017: 37 hours | .309 AVG | .586 SLG | .959 OPS | 130 OPS +
2018: 38 HR | .297 AVG | .561 SLG | .935 OPS | 133 OPS +
2019: 41 HR | .315 AVG | .583 SLG | .962 OPS | 130 OPS +

What is likely that 29-year-old Arenado has forgotten how to hit with prime numbers, or that the 2020 stats were unusual (possibly affected by a left shoulder injury)? We use the latter.

3.3. Francisco Lindeau, SS, indian
2020 Statistics: .258 AVG / .335 OBP / .415 SLG, 8 HR, 6 SB, .750 OPS
2021 Forecast: .277 AVG / .349 OBP / .507 SLG, 33 HR, 19 SB, .856 OPS

Lindor’s aggressive production, especially his power numbers, was a hit in 2020. However, he is still ranked high compared to majors in almost all of Statcast’s contact quality metrics due to exit speed and hard hit rates. Expected batting average Slugging percentage with few strikeouts and swing and misses.

The key to Lindor’s 2017-19 home run breakout was pull power-he hit 78 home runs into the pullfield, tying most batters. Fortunately, in 2020, I was pulling line drives and flyballs as often as in 17-19. However, far fewer people left the stadium last season (of Linder’s 38 pull-air balls, only 7 hit home runs, 18.4% compared to 26.6% in the last three years. T). Look for Lindor to drive more of them over the fence in 2021.

Most pulled HR in 2017-19
1-T) Francisco Lindeau: 78
1-T) Nolan Arenado: 78
3) Edwin Encarnación: 77
4) Hosera Milles: 76
5) Mike Moustakas: 75

4.4. Cody Bellinger, CF, Dodgers
2020 Statistics: .239 AVG / .333 OBP / .455 SLG, 12 HR, 6 SB, .789 OPS
2021 Forecast: .282 AVG / .382 OBP / .568 SLG, 40 HR, 12 SB, .950 OPS

Bellinger was “shadowed” more than “bad” in 2020, and there were big moments in the playoffs, but the Dodgers still have two top 10 MVP finishers (Mookie Betts and Corey Seager), both winners. It wasn’t. However, it is predicted that Belli will return to its MVP level in 2021. He, along with Ronald Acuña Jr., Pete Alonso, Giancarlo Stanton and Mike Trout, is one of the five batters predicted for more than 40 homers, to Juan Soto and Trout. It is predicted for the third best OPS next. There are many reasons why he thinks he can match those predictions.

Bellinger’s contact quality was much better than his results last season.He has exit speed, hard hit rate, and barrelAnd more than 80% of the league with expected batting average and slugging percentage.Bellinger was also MLB’s best fielder in 2020 on Statcast Above average out (+8 OAA), faster than 90% of the league (28.6 ft / s) Sprint speed). Bellinger is 25 years old and still has all the tools, so there is no doubt that he will be an all-round superstar next season.

5.5. Alex bregman, 3B, Astros
2020 Statistics: .242 AVG / .350 OBP / .451 SLG, 6 HR, .801 OPS
2021 Forecast: .278 AVG / .393 OBP / .527 SLG, 32 HR, .920 OPS

Bregman has entered the 27-year-old season and has been very good since 2018-19-he had over 80 extra-base hits in a row-it’s hard to imagine he’s not getting that much better in 21. Than he was in a strange 20 years. Especially when his approach on the plate is still intact.

Bregman maintained elite plate discipline in 2020-he chased 18.1% of the pitch outside the strike zone, whiffed at 14.7% of the swing, and only made contact at 91.8% of the swing time and strike. I walked almost as often as out on the pitch of the strike zone. All of these marks are ranked near the top of the league. He also hit the ball in the air at the same speed as in the last two years. The foundation for a strong 2021 is in place.

6.6. Jack Flaherty, RHP, Cardinal
2020 Statistics: 4-3, 4.91 ERA, 49 K, 40 1/3 IP
2021 Forecast: 11-10, 3.97 ERA, 203 K, 182 IP

ERA close to 5 from one of the top young ace in the game? please do not worry. Flaherty was better than it showed. He was great on the first day, but couldn’t pitch again for nearly a month as the Cardinals dealt with the COVID outbreak. In other words, Flaherty could only start nine times and couldn’t throw as many innings as usual. As a result, his ERA was blown up in one bad match against the Brewers on September 15th, allowing nine runs in three innings. Abandoning that start, Flaherty’s ERA drops to 3.13.

The number of strikeouts and swing-and-misses in Flaherty was at the same level in 2020 as in 18 and 19 and nothing happened to his (especially his slider was very effective). ). Only ERA was the problem. Expect Flaherty to fix it.

Seasonal flahti season
2018: 10.85 K / 9 | 29.6% strikeout rate | 31.6% whiff rate
2019: 10.59 K / 9 | 29.9% strikeout rate | 30.9% whiff rate
2020: 10.93 K / 9 | 28.8% strikeout rate | 34.5% whiff rate

7. Gleyber Torres, SS, Yankees
2020 Statistics: .243 AVG / .356 OBP / .368 SLG, 3 HR, .724 OPS
2021 Forecast: .270 AVG / .350 OBP / .498 SLG, 32 HR, .847 OPS

Torres went from 24 home runs as a rookie in 2018 to 38 in 2019 … to 3 in 20. This is a single digit home run pace even in the full season. What’s wrong? There are some explanations. Torres stopped the barrel of the ball in 2020-his barrel rate dropped from 10.1 percent to 3.7 percent. He was pitched tougher, with 45% of the pitch he saw hitting the edge of the strike zone. It increased from 39.7% in 2019. And he’s probably a bit too selective for hittable pitches, with 66.9 percent of strike zone pitches (down from 75.6 percent in 2019) and 69.8 percent in the middle pitch (down from 84.9 percent in 2019). I swung only at. ..

Fortunately, Graber actually had a slight increase in hard hits, hitting flyballs and line drives as often as 2018 and 19 and chasing much less bad pitches. He needs to combine hard and air contacts as before to find a balance between discipline against bad pitches and attacking good pitches. Why can’t a 24-year-old who has already proved his superstar talent in the field do it again?

David Adler A reporter for MLB.com based in New York. Follow him on Twitter. @_dadler..


– MLB Sports

MLB star that should bounce back in 2021

https://www.mlb.com/news/mlb-stars-who-should-bounce-back-in-2021 MLB star that should bounce back in 2021

Back to top button