Notable points in Germany’s largest game, Der Klassiker – Soccer Sports

Derby, rival match, clasicos It acts as a useful mile marker during the long soccer season. They give us an excuse to check in to two major teams, see how everything is going, and see what has happened since the teams last met. ..With Bundesliga Der Klassiker ―――― Bayern Munich versus. Borussia Dortmund -Reopened on Saturday in Dortmund (Watch Live, Eastern Standard Time 12:30 pm, ESPN +), Let’s actually check in.

What happened from the last time German Did the heavy weights face off last? To answer this question, I both jumped into the statistics and talked to former Bayern Munich and German national team captain Philipp Lahm.

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Teams are only one point away at the Bundesliga table

Since Bayern defeated BVB 3-1 GermanySix consecutive victories in the Bavarian match-up series at the Super Cup on August 17 have both teams fought random seizures that were injured and inconsistent.Borussia Dortmund seriously missed the star striker Erling Hout, Missed due to injury in 6 Bundesliga games and 3 Champions League games.But other core players like left back Raphael Guerreiro, Winger Gio Reyna, Midfielder Emre Can When Mahmoud Dahoud, Attack midfielder Thorgan Hazard And defender Mats Hummels Missed all the time while the star midfielder was growing fast Jude Bellingham I was slightly injured last week. His status on Saturday is uncertain.

As the midpoint of the season approached, first-year manager Marco Rose, in fact, had little opportunity to launch his complete first-choice lineup. Therefore, we do not yet have a clear vision of what Rose wants to implement in Dortmund. “He was pretty unlucky to deal with so many injuries,” Ram said. “So he may have experimented a bit, but that doesn’t always work. I think he’s in the process of finding the right system for Dortmund, and that’s why he’s healthy. I need a player. “

The BVB problem became almost a problem in the Champions League match and started with two wins, but lost three games in a row with a total of 10-2 and was demoted to the Europa League knockout round. However, even though the lineup was reduced, they were able to win an important league match. Most recently, he won 3-1 in Wolfsburg last Saturday.

The Bayern issue is less important and does not affect the club’s Champions League status. The 2020 European Champion has won 19-3 in all five group stage games so far.But the loss of 2-1 Eintracht Frankfurt And Augsburg provided some unexpected drop points, and they were eliminated from DFB-Pokal in an unpleasant way through a loss of 5-0. Borussia Mönchengladbach..

New coach Julian Nagelsmann, who missed a few games because of a positive coronavirus test, was forced to adjust his lineup, especially in the midfield.

Joshua Kimmich Missing time for quarantine, Coronavirus test positive -He’s also out for Saturday games.Right back Benjamin PavadOften plays the role of midfield during build-up play, missed the first month of the season due to an ankle injury, Corentin Tolisso Missed Next Calf problem month, and acquisition this summer Marcel Zabitzer I have also had a calf injury.Bavarian still have Leon Goretzka, Tolisso and Pavard are both available, but you may not enjoy the same midfield benefits you would normally do for BVB.

Despite the better shape of Bayern in Europe, the two teams are actually only one point apart at the Bundesliga table and no one else is within six points from the top. The league has created some fun surprises, which can easily be seen as a two-team race.

“Some teams surprised me-Freiburg is one of them,” Ram said. Freiburg was fourth and could have been higher without the recent loss of one goal to Bochum and Bavarian. “They have done a great job so far, but I think the championship will be decided between Bayern and Dortmund. I think Leipzig and Leverkusen have some points left, so I’m going to Bayern-Dortmund’s. I think it will be. The end. “

Saturday’s winner will lead the way to Matchday 15.

BVB’s bad luck was offset by good luck in the league

Rose’s side is above the previously expected target. With an average of 2.1 xG per match, we allow 1.6, but when it comes to real goals, we’ve scored 2.5 and allowed 1.5. Overachievements come primarily from Harland, who scored 10 league goals in 7.1xG in just 557 Bundesliga minutes. This is equivalent to 6.2 full match. But the defense was probably fortunate not to have any more accidents. 9th in league goals and 6th (0.12) in shots allowed per possession, 11th in xG allowed and 16th (0.14) in xG allowed per shot. is. ..

Rose’s style is one of the ball controls, but the juggled midfield remains more vulnerable to counterattacks than ever before.

Not surprisingly, BVB was a very different team, with or without Harland. “Earling Bout is a very important player for Borussia Dortmund,” Ram said. Together, they infected them with his enthusiasm and really helped them all get better. “

When Haaland is included in the lineup, they are prolific and free-flowing-in his seven league matches, they have an average of 2.6 points per game and 3.3 goals allowed 1.9 goals. Without him, they would be more conservative, averaging 1.7 goals, but only allow 1.0, squeezing 2.0 points per game.



Don Hatchson and Jan Oge Fjordft believe that Robert Lewandowski should have won the men’s Ballon d’Or.

The presence of Norwegian strikers is clearly influential, Donyell malenThe recent play of is also encouraging.22 years old arrived from PSV Eindhoven In July, he scored only twice in the league, but these goals were achieved in his last two games. His shot volume is also slowly increasing.

“He joined a new club. It’s a new league, so things take time,” Ram said. “He’s definitely a well-skilled player, a player who just needs to be made to play and takes time. Things take time.”

Malen’s 23-yard firecrackers with Wolfsburg gave BVB a lead they wouldn’t give up, and see how he regains full power in Rose’s plans with Harland. Would be interesting.

Despite the shuffled midfield, Bayern remains Bayern

They are statistically dominant, even in losses. Bayern averages 3.0xG per match (0.9 more than second place) RB Leipzig) And 3.2 goals (0.7 more than BVB). They try far more shots per possession than anyone else and average the best xG / shots in the league.Star striker at all tournaments this season Robert Lewandowski Already 25 goals in 20 games, Winger Serge Gnabry There are eight goals. Thomas Müller There are 6 goals, 12 assists, and a resurrection Leroy SanéReturning to his natural left-he played right for his former manager, Hans Flick-already has nine goals and nine assists.

“I think Julian Nagelsmann just saw a place where Leroy Sané could play with maximum confidence and brought him back there,” said Sane’s improvement Ram. “It’s also important for players who changed clubs like Leroy a year ago to gain that confidence simply by being allowed to play multiple games in a row. A good match between them. And there may be bad matches, but you can regain confidence in such an approach player. “

Thane played 1,442 minutes in all tournaments this year. This is close to 60% of all records (2,454) last season.

Bayern is almost as defensively dominant, with the lowest number of shots per possession and the lowest xG per shot. They also have the most set-piece goals and allow the fewest goals.Thanks also to the addition of Dayot Upamecano From Nagelsmann’s former club, RBL, they can challenge hostile attackers with almost shocking success.Left back Alphonso Davies This season, he won 80 out of 123 duels (65%), with Upamecano and centre-back companion Lucas Hernandez winning 80 out of 120 (67%). DFB-Pokal’s defeat to Gladbach allowed a stable flow of high-quality scoring opportunities, but was basically an exception to all the rules.

In Nagelsmann, Bayern has found a natural successor to both Pep Guardiola (who has been in control of the club since 2013-16) and Flick (2019-21).

“I believe Julian is a fan of Guardiola and has adopted his model,” Ram said. “Bavarian under Guardiola has become a diverse approach of this kind. [at the back], Sometimes four, sometimes in defensive mode four, sometimes in attack mode three. Nagelsmann is a young and very modern type of coach, and I think Guardiola has made him a considerable model as he left his mark on the Bundesliga. “

Not surprisingly, they wouldn’t have been so impressive without Kimmich. ESPN100’s second-place midfielder.. They did lose to Augsburg on November 19th and achieved a minimal advantage by beating Dynamo Kyiv in the Champions League (2-1). Arminia Bielefeld (1-0).

“Obviously Kimmich is a very important player for Bayern Munich,” Ram said. “It applies to Goretzka today, and certainly in the future. If such a key player like Kimmich goes missing during a top match, it shouldn’t be underestimated. It certainly helps. not.”

This was a lot of recent rivals

Bayern had only 6 out of 10 wins in the series from November 2016 to August 2019, but since then they have won a total of 18-7 for 6 consecutive wins. BVB is good at taking the lead of 2-0 (Munich) and 1-0 (Dortmund) in the league match last season and fighting the German champions, but Bayern has rolled them up every time. In these six games, Bayern averaged 16.3 shots and 2.5xG per game against BVB 8.2 and 1.2. They enjoy higher xG in 5 out of 6 games, more touches in 4 games, and higher pass completion rate in 5 games.

BVB has a chance to return to Harland and mid-Bayern without Kimmich, but it’s hard to bet on a streak. “Harland was injured and came back, so that’s definitely an important factor,” Haaland said.

“But I personally bet on Bayern Munich.”

It’s usually a pretty good bet.

– Soccer Sports

Notable points in Germany’s largest game, Der Klassiker Notable points in Germany’s largest game, Der Klassiker

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